Regional spillover into third?order European elections

نویسندگان

چکیده

Second-order election research clearly reveals that national incumbency impacts on European outcomes but despite the increasing importance of regions few studies explore impact regional politics. I theorize governmental status at level, authority, and relative timing affects vote share swings between previously held elections. Based an analysis including 12,545 for 468 parties compete elections in 209 11 Union member states since 1979, find strong evidence prospective voting, is, voters rewarding government level. First, are opposition incur larger gains than both levels. Second, these become when authority increases and, third, a has preceded election.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Governance

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0952-1895', '1468-0491']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/gove.12434